Showing posts with label development. Show all posts
Showing posts with label development. Show all posts

Tuesday, 21 September 2021

OECD urges rich nations to share vaccines to even-up growth

‘A leading international economic watchdog urged developed countries to put more effort into providing low-income countries with coronavirus vaccines in order to ensure that the global recovery from the pandemic is more even.

‘In its latest assessment of the state of the global economy, the Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said Tuesday that the global recovery from the shock of the pandemic is faster than it anticipated a year ago. Though the global economy has more than recouped the 3.4% output lost in 2020, it cautioned that the recovery is “uneven.”

Read here (Associated Press, Sept 21, 2021)

Tuesday, 3 August 2021

Central banks must address pandemic challenges

‘Hopes for an inclusive global economic recovery are fast fading. As rich countries have done little to ensure poor countries’ access to vaccines and fiscal resources, North-South “fault lines” will certainly widen.’

This story is well argued and contains several relevant and informative links under the following subheadings:

  • Enhancing relief, recovery, transformation
  • Macroeconomic policy coordination
  • Central banks’ developmental role
  • Supporting transformation
  • Bolder actions needed

Read here (IPS News, Aug 3, 2021)

Friday, 19 February 2021

Rich nations stockpiling a billion more COVID-19 shots than needed: Report

‘Rich countries are on course to have over a billion more doses of COVID-19 vaccines than they need, leaving poorer nations scrambling for leftover supplies as the world seeks to curb the coronavirus pandemic, a report by anti-poverty campaigners found on Friday. In an analysis of current supply deals for COVID-19 vaccines, the ONE Campaign said wealthy countries, such as the United States and Britain, should share the excess doses to “supercharge” a fully global response to the pandemic.

‘The advocacy group, which campaigns against poverty and preventable diseases, said a failure to do so would deny billions of people essential protection from the COVID-19-causing virus and likely prolong the pandemic. The report looked specifically at contracts with the five leading COVID-19 vaccine makers - Pfizer-BioNTech, Moderna, Oxford-AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, and Novavax.’

Read here (Reuters, Feb 19, 2021)

Friday, 5 February 2021

Covid-19 and the convergence of nations

‘Few, if any [government], have set out recovery strategies that include the goal to reduce inequalities as part of future pandemic preparedness. Yet an essential truth of this emergency is that stronger security depends on fairer societies. But that is not the whole story...

‘In a working paper published last week by the US National Bureau of Economic Research, the Nobel economist Angus Deaton concludes that, at least in terms of global income, inequalities have decreased. He claims that the views of several respected authorities, ranging from fellow Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz to the UN Development Programme, are plain wrong. His argument is that high-income nations have suffered higher rates of mortality than low-income and middle-income countries. These higher mortality rates have translated into larger falls in wealth. This is an important observation...

‘The reality is that health and prosperity go hand-in-hand. During this pandemic, the smaller the number of deaths, the larger the income of a nation. The result has been that incomes per person in wealthier countries have fallen more than those in low-income countries. International income inequalities have therefore decreased. Nations have converged, not diverged. As Deaton notes, the pandemic “has brought countries closer together, not further apart”.

Read here (The Lancet, Feb 6, 2021)

Sunday, 6 December 2020

Coronavirus pandemic could push over 1 billion people in extreme poverty by 2030, says UN

‘Due to the severe long-term impact of the coronavirus pandemic, an additional 207 million people could be pushed into extreme poverty by 2030. This will bring the total number of the world's extremely poor to more than a billion, according to a new study by the UN Development Programme (UNDP).

‘The study assesses the impact of different coronavirus recovery scenarios on the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), evaluating the multidimensional effects of the pandemic over the next decade. It is part of a long-standing partnership between the UNDP and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.’

Read here (India Today, Dec 6, 2020)

Wednesday, 25 November 2020

How Covid-19 will impact our cities in the long term

‘The biggest opportunity for cities from this pandemic is to build back better with the planned fiscal stimulus: more climate resilient infrastructure, green initiatives such as increasing public spaces, creating vehicle free streets, making bike lanes, refurbishing buildings to multiple uses and thereby doing more with less. This cannot be done by the public sector alone. Cities will need to attract private sector and social partners to close the financing gap. Good governance is an imperative to attract private financing and to work with the private sector.’

Read here (World Economic Forum, Nov 25, 2020)

Tuesday, 27 October 2020

We need fresh ideas to handle the Covid recession — Jeyakumar Devaraj

‘What is the most appropriate budget for Malaysia to navigate the economic recession that the Covid pandemic has precipitated? This is the crucial issue we should be discussing so that appropriate solutions can be found. Each country needs to develop a national consensus on how the finite financial capacity of the nation should be deployed to limit the health and economic fallout of the ongoing pandemic. Unfortunately, we in Malaysia have been distracted by political intrigues for far too long.

‘The PSM would like to share our analysis of the current recession and put forward a set of ideas on how we should tackle the economic fallout of the Covid Pandemic. We need a clear understanding of the situation we are in so that we can plan coherently for the coming year...’ 

The analysis and suggestions come under seven headings:

  1. We cannot “talk up” the economy
  2. Pumping in more credit into the system is not going to work
  3. The government has to take the lead role in managing the economy and protecting the rakyat
  4. This is not going to be a V-shaped recession
  5. More targeted relief for the poorest families
  6. A “Green New Deal” for Malaysia
  7. The government should use “debt monetisation” as one of the methods to raise funds for the programs mentioned above.

Read here (The Malay Mail, Oct 28, 2020) 

Monday, 26 October 2020

Finance Covid-19 relief and recovery, not debt buybacks

‘In the face of the world’s worst economic contraction since the Great Depression, a sense of urgency has now spread to most national capitals and the Washington-based Bretton Woods institutions. Unless urgently addressed, the massive economic contractions due to the COVID-19 pandemic and policy responses to contain contagion threaten to become depressions.

‘Nevertheless, many long preoccupied with developing countries’ debt burdens and excessive debt insist on using scarce fiscal resources, including donor assistance, to reduce government debt, instead of strengthening fiscal measures for adequate and appropriate relief and recovery measures.

‘Most debt restructuring measures do not address countries’ currently more urgent need to finance adequate and appropriate relief and recovery packages. In the new circumstances, the debt preoccupation, perhaps appropriate previously, has become a problematic distraction, diminishing the ‘fiscal space’ for addressing contagion and its consequences...

‘Despite her earlier reputation as a ‘debt hawk’, new World Bank Chief Economist Carmen Reinhart recognizes the gravity of the situation and recently advised countries to borrow more: “First fight the war, then figure out how to pay for it.” Hence, in these COVID-19 times, donor money would be better utilized to finance relief and recovery, rather than debt buybacks.

‘Multilateral development finance institutions should resume their traditional role of mobilizing funds at minimal cost to finance development, or currently, relief and recovery, by efficiently intermediating on behalf of developing countries. They can borrow at the best available market rates to lend to developing countries which, otherwise, would have to borrow on their own at more onerous rates.’

Read here (IPS News, Oct 17, 2020) 

Saturday, 24 October 2020

Emerging humanitarian Covid-19 crisis in Sabah: Bridget Welsh & Calvin Cheng

‘Sabah’s Covid-19 situation transcends health. A crucial part of this is recognising the difficult economic circumstances on the ground. Many of these are the product of failings in policy in the past, with the crisis bringing deep vulnerabilities to the surface. Socio-economic conditions are worsening with the lockdown. Even before 2020, Sabah’s economy had been in a tight spot. The state’s relatively high reliance on commodity-related economic activity (roughly half of the Sabah economy in 2019 was derived from commodity agriculture and mining), along with a sizable tourism sector, means that a large share of Sabah’s economy is subject to the whims of the global economy.’

Read here (Malaysiakini, Oct 25, 2020)

Monday, 28 September 2020

The world after Coronavirus: A Pardee Center video series

The COVID-19 pandemic is a global crisis of unprecedented scale, with aftershocks that will be felt in virtually every aspect of life for years or decades to come. The Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future at the Pardee School of Global Studies is pleased to present “The World After Coronavirus,” a video series featuring more than 100 interviews with leading experts and practitioners from Boston University and across the world, exploring the challenges and opportunities we will face in our post-coronavirus future.

The series is hosted by Prof. Adil Najam, the Inaugural Dean of the Pardee School of Global Studies and former Director of the Pardee Center. Each episode is around five minutes long, and is an edited version of a slightly longer conversation between Dean Najam and our featured guest.

The entire series is curated on the Pardee Center’s YouTube channel.

  • Ban Ki-moon on The Future of the United Nations
  • Leon E. Panetta on The Future of Public Service
  • Richard N. Haass on The Future of ‘The World’
  • Lawrence Lessig on The Future of Expertise
  • Fred Swaniker on The Future of Education in Africa
  • Nicol Turner Lee on The Future of Technology and Work
  • Paul Webster Hare on The Future of Diplomacy
  • Michelle A. Williams on The Future of Public Health
  • Kara Lavender Law on The Future of the Oceans
  • Ricardo Meléndez-Ortiz on The Future of the WTO
  • Alanna Shaikh on The Future of Global Health
  • Barry Hughes on The Future of Disruptions
  • Mariette DiChristina on The Future of Science Journalism
  • James J. Collins on The Future of Synthetic Biology
  • Sharon Goldberg on The Future of Cybersecurity
  • Jeffrey D. Sachs on The Future of Global Sustainable Development
  • Guy Kawasaki on The Future of Digital Marketing
  • Ian Bremmer on The Future of Geopolitics
  • Umar Saif on The Future of E-Commerce in the Developing World
  • Janine Ferretti on The Future of Environmental Performance
  • Judith Butler on The Future of Gender and Identity
  • Richard Florida on The Future of Cities
  • Martin Rees on The Future of the Future
  • Julia Kim on The Future of Happiness
  • Jeremy Corbyn on The Future of Politics (and Part 2)
  • Ian Goldin on The Future of Globalization
  • Judith Butler on The Future of Hope
  • Robin Murphy on The Future of Robots
  • Thomas Lovejoy on The Future of Nature
  • Sandrine Dixson-Declѐve on The Future of the Green Economy
  • Mary Evelyn Tucker on The Future of Religion and Ecology
  • Mark C. Storella on The Future of Health Diplomacy
  • Paul R. Ehrlich on The Future of Population and Extinction
  • Adela Pineda on The Future of Literature
  • Peter Gleick on The Future of Water
  • Ricardo Hausmann on The Future of Tax Policy in Developing Countries
  • Ramachandra Guha on The Future of Globalism
  • Ann Marie Lipinski on The Future of Journalism
  • Peter Frankopan on The Future of the Silk Roads
  • Ha-Joon Chang on The Future of Developing Economies
  • Alice Ruhweza on The Future of the Food System in Africa
  • Elizabeth Economy on The Future of U.S.-China Relations
  • Ibram X. Kendi on The Future of Racism
  • Peter Maurer on The Future of Humanitarianism
  • Jessica Stern on The Future of Extremism
  • Angus Deaton on The Future of Despair
  • Danielle Citron on The Future of Cyber Civil Rights
  • Zeid Ra’ad Al Hussein on The Future of Human Rights
  • Elizabeth M. Mrema on The Future of Biodiversity
  • Dani Rodrik on The Future of Global Trade
  • Nahid Bhadelia on The Future of Infectious Disease
  • Vali Nasr on The Future of the Middle East
  • Graham T. Allison on The Future of Thucydides
  • Rachel Kyte on The Future of Renewable Energy
  • David Miliband on The Future of Refugees
  • Vala Afshar on The Future of Digital Business
  • Kevin P. Gallagher on The Future of Economic Multilateralism
  • Karen H. Antman on The Future of Medicine
  • Adm. James G. Stavridis on The Future of the Military
  • Thomas Piketty on The Future of Inequality
  • Jomo Kwame Sundaram on The Future of Food Security
  • Kevin Outterson on The Future of Health Law
  • Bill McKibben on The Future of Environmentalism
  • Laurie Garrett on The Future of Pandemics
  • Malik Dahlan on The Future of Muslim Societies
  • Sandro Galea on The Future of Mental Health
  • Michael Barber on The Future of Government
  • Peter Singer on The Future of Meat
  • Phil Baty on The Future of Global Higher Education
  • Sunita Narain on The Future of Global Cooperation
  • Adil Haider on The Future of Emergency Medicine
  • Michael Woldemariam on The Future of Africa
  • Lucy Hutyra on The Future of CO2
  • David Chard on The Future of Education
  • Sakiko Fukuda-Parr on The Future of the SDGs
  • Francis Fukuyama on The Future of Democracy
  • Mark Blyth on The Future of Growth
  • Claudia Juech on The Future of Data Governance
  • Tom Tugendhat on The Future of the Nation State
  • Rachel Nolan on The Future of Immigration
  • Achim Steiner on The Future of International Development
  • Michael Kugelman on The Future of South Asia
  • Enrico Letta on The Future of the E.U.
  • Marcia McNutt on The Future of Science
  • Jorge Heine on The Future of Latin America
  • Harvey Young on The Future of the Fine Arts
  • Kishore Mahbubani on The Future of Asia
  • Yolanda Kakabadse on The Future of Sustainable Development
  • Atif Mian on The Future of Debt
  • Parag Khanna on The Future of Supply Chains
  • Noam Chomsky on The Future of Neoliberalism (and Part 2)
  • Neta Crawford on The Future of War
  • Perry Mehrling on The Future of Money
  • Larry Susskind on The Future of Problem Solving in Crises
  • Ellen Ruppel Shell on The Future of Work
  • Kishore Mahbubani on The Future of World Order & Global Governance
  • Saleemul Huq on The Future of Global Climate Policy
  • Andrew J. Bacevich on The Future of National Security
  • Muhammad Hamid Zaman on The Future of Humanitarian Relief
  • Vivien Schmidt on The Future of Europe
  • Jon Hutton on The Future of Conservation

Read here (Pardee School of Global Studies, Sept 29, 2020) 

Pandemic to keep Asia's growth at lowest since 1967, warns World Bank

‘The coronavirus pandemic is expected to lead to the slowest growth in more than 50 years in East Asia and the Pacific as well as China, while up to 38 million people are set to be pushed back into poverty, the World Bank said in an economic update on Monday. The bank said the region this year is projected to grow by only 0.9%, the lowest rate since 1967.

‘Growth in China was expected to come in at 2% this year, boosted by government spending, strong exports and a low rate of new coronavirus infections since March, but held back by slow domestic consumption. The rest of the East Asia and Pacific region was projected to see a 3.5% contraction, the World Bank said.’

Read here (Reuters, Sept 29, 2020)

Sunday, 13 September 2020

Lancet COVID-19 Commission Statement on the occasion of the 75th session of the UN General Assembly

Executive summary: ‘The Lancet COVID-19 Commission was launched on July 9, 2020, to assist governments, civil society, and UN institutions in responding effectively to the COVID-19 pandemic. The Commission aims to offer practical solutions to the four main global challenges posed by the pandemic: suppressing the pandemic by means of pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions; overcoming humanitarian emergencies, including poverty, hunger, and mental distress, caused by the pandemic; restructuring public and private finances in the wake of the pandemic; and rebuilding the world economy in an inclusive, resilient, and sustainable way that is aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Climate Agreement. Many creative solutions are already being implemented, and a key aim of the Commission is to accelerate their adoption worldwide.’

Download full statement here (Sept 14, 2020)

Sunday, 6 September 2020

World’s struggle with coronavirus will affect growth and employment for a long time

‘The next few months will tell us a lot about the shape of the coming global recovery. Despite ebullient stock markets, uncertainty about COVID-19 remains pervasive. Regardless of the pandemic’s course, therefore, the world’s struggle with the virus so far is likely to affect growth, employment, and politics for a very long time.’

Read here (Channel News Asia, Sept 7, 2020)

Sunday, 16 August 2020

Oxford developers of rapid Covid-19 test awarded RAEng President's Special Award

‘Professor Cui and his team from Oxford's Department of Engineering Science and OSCAR, the Oxford Suzhou Centre for Advanced Research, are one of the winners announced today of the Royal Academy of Engineering's President's Special Awards for Pandemic Service for their rapid viral RNA test for COVID-19.’

Read here (OUP, Aug 17, 2020) 

Tuesday, 28 July 2020

Fight pandemic, not windmills of the mind

‘Reversing emergency expansionary measures too soon risks aborting recovery and may even trigger new recessions. Even an assets fund manager has acknowledged, “Like a course of antibiotics, an economic relief package is most efficacious when administered to completion”.

‘When President Franklin Delano Roosevelt tried to balance the budget in 1937 after securing re-election, the ensuing downturn ended the recovery, only revived after deficit spending resumed in 1939. Also, countries that abandoned fiscal expansion for consolidation from 2009 had worse recovery records than others.’

Read here (IPS News, July 28, 2020)

Thursday, 23 July 2020

Covid-19 compounds developing country debt burdens

‘Covid-19 is expected to take a heavy human and economic toll on developing countries, not only because of contagion in the face of weak health systems, but also containment measures which have precipitated recessions, destroying and diminishing the livelihoods of many.

‘The unique, but varied and changing nature of the pandemic and efforts to contain contagion, and the specific challenges of relief, revival and reorientation imply that neither ‘one size fits all’ nor other formulaic solutions, e.g., to address financial crisis, are appropriate.

‘Policy measures will not only need to address the specificities of the Covid-19 crises, but must also take into consideration the legacy of earlier problems, including the burdens of accumulated debt and debt-servicing.’

Read here (IPS News, July 23, 2020)

Tuesday, 12 May 2020

Study warns 1.1 million children, 56,000 mothers, could die as pandemic interrupts access to food & medical care

A new report finds 1.1 million children under 5 could die, and 56,700 maternal deaths occur, in the next six months from secondary impacts of the pandemic, like disruptions to health services and access to food... ‘Our most severe scenario (coverage reductions of 39·3–51·9% and wasting increase of 50%) over 6 months would result in 1,157,000 additional child deaths and 56,700 additional maternal deaths.’

Read here (The Lancet, May 12, 2020)

Wednesday, 6 May 2020

For the record: Are Gates and Rockefeller using their influence to set agenda in poor states?

‘Study identifies Bill and Melinda Gates and Rockefeller foundations among rich donors that are close to government and may be skewing priorities... Ultra-rich philanthropists and their foundations have increasing influence on decision-making and are setting the global health and agriculture agenda in developing countries, according to a major study (pdf). Using their immense wealth and influence with political and scientific elites, organisations like the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, the Rockefeller Foundation and others are promoting solutions to global problems that may undermine the UN and other international organisations, says the report by the independent Global Policy Forum, which monitors the work of UN bodies and global policymaking.’

Read here (The Guardian, Jan 15, 2016)

Download report here (Global Policy Forum, November 2015)

Tuesday, 5 May 2020

Preparing for post-COVID-19 from the lens of sustainable development goals (SDGs): Insight from Malaysia

The Malaysian Social Science Association made five proposals for a post-COVID-19 Malaysia, all of which we feel are vital to hasten Malaysia’s recovery and increase resilience. They are:

  1. Disaster preparedness: Build on the strengths of the Malaysian public healthcare system which has shown tremendous robustness and resilience in this crisis. Raise the level of disaster preparedness (SDG 3.d) through the use of Big Data for predictions and alerts, and maintain a ready stockpile of emergency supplies.  Ensure that the provision of public goods like healthcare remains the responsibility of the government (SDG 3.8)
  2. Culture of civic responsibility: Keep up campaigns to promote personal hygiene, public cleanliness, and health and safety awareness as mutual responsibilities (SDG 4). Ensure an efficient system of participation and involvement by non-government organisations to alleviate the negative impacts on all people and ensure a better quality of life (SDG 16& SDG 17).
  3. Sustainable risk-resilient game plan: Business and the broader economy need increased resiliency. In the short term, the Malaysian government needs to develop a comprehensive and sustainable social protection system to help the M/SMEs to cope with unprecedented economic situations (SDG10.4). Going forward, the country needs a people-centred economic policy; for instance, better policies on flexible work for both women and men...
  4. High-speed cost-effective connectivity: Many daily activities have moved online – business functions, school, and university classes, and purchasing food and other essentials – but gaps do exist. We need to identify the gaps in our preparedness and connectivity so that all organisations are fully prepared for this eventuality (SDG 9.1). Connectivity needs to be cost-effective and available even in remote areas (SDG 9.c).
  5. Research & innovation: Research and innovation are crucial for Malaysia to progress in this highly competitive world. Funding for high-quality research and innovation is a key part of that and the COVID-19 crisis makes such research and development more imperative and urgent. While financial resources are not easy to come by with the looming global economic recession, Malaysia should at least maintain its present level of R&D expenditure (1.44% of GDP) and increase it later when the situation allows ( SDG 4.7 and SDG 9.5).

Read here (United Nations University, May 5, 2020)

Monday, 4 May 2020

UN humanitarian chief: After COVID-19, it’s in everyone’s interest to help the world's poorest countries

‘Our best estimate is that the cost of protecting the most vulnerable 10 per cent of people in the world’s poorest countries from the very worst impacts of the pandemic is approximately $90 billion. $90 billion is a lot of money. But it is an affordable sum of money. It is equivalent to just 1 per cent of the global stimulus package the world’s richest countries have put in place to save the global economy...

‘Some may be sceptical that additional resources of that magnitude can be generated in the current circumstances. That is not my experience. After the financial crisis of 2008 fundraising for UN-coordinated humanitarian appeals had increased by more than 40 per cent by 2010. That was a result of human generosity and empathy – but also a calculation of national interest in the donor countries.’

Read here (OCHA, May 4, 2020)

Worst ever Covid variant? Omicron

John Campbell shares his findings on Omicron.  View here (Youtube, Nov 27, 2021)